Disclaimer: I have not played this particular pattern.
First, 3:1 is the maximum ratio for a sport shot before you get into that grey area where it’s not a true sport shot but it’s not a 10:1 walled up house shot. The “rule of 31” tells you that on the fresh your ball should be exiting the oil on board 8, i.e at 39’ the ball is on the eighth board. From what I recall of your videos you are more comfortable playing straight or almost straight up the boards so to start your breakpoint will be between 6 and 8. This of course is just a rough guide and does not take into account individual lane topography, type of lane, etc. Many of the better sport shot bowlers that I know will start off with some shots very close to the gutter just to see if there is a playable area out there and move in if there isn’t. A month or so ago we were on a 47’ pattern and many of us were having success playing outside first arrow.
One of the most valuable things to do in a sport league is to WATCH WHERE OTHER BOWLERS ARE PLAYING, especially if they are getting strikes.
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